Wednesday, February 15, 2017

Big Dance Projection (February 13)

After a fun week of college hoops, the rankings shifted once again.  Schools like UCLA, Duke and Wichita State saw their overall ranking rise, while schools like Virginia, Cincinnati and Iowa State fell.  Here's my updated projection for the NCAA Tournament after Sunday night's games...


WEST:


#1 - Gonzaga (26-0, 14-0 West Coast)

#16 - UC Davis (16-9, 8-2 Big West)

#16 - Texas Southern (14-11, 10-2 SWAC)


#8 - Minnesota (18-7, 6-6 Big Ten)

#9 - Iowa State (15-9, 7-5 Big 12)


#5 - Notre Dame (19-7, 8-5 ACC)

#12 - Vermont (23-5, 13-0 America East)


#4 - Purdue (20-5, 9-3 Big Ten)

#13 - Akron (21-4, 11-1 Mid-American)


#6 - Kansas State (16-9, 5-7 Big 12)

#11 - Indiana (15-11, 5-8 Big Ten)


#3 - North Carolina (21-5, 9-3 ACC)

#14 - East Tennessee State (20-6, 10-3 Southern)


#7 - Virginia Tech (17-7, 6-6 ACC)

#10 - California (18-7, 9-4 Pac 12)


#2 - West Virginia (20-5, 8-4 Big 12)

#15 - UNC Asheville (20-7, 12-2 Big South)


EAST:


#1 -Villanova (24-2, 11-2 Big East)

#16 - North Dakota State (17-8, 9-3 Summit)

#16 - Mount Saint Mary's (14-13, 12-2 Northeast)


#8 - Marquette (15-10, 6-7 Big East)

#9 - Miami (16-8, 6-6 ACC)


#5 - Butler (19-6, 8-5 Big East)

#12 - UNC Wilmington (22-5, 11-3 Colonial)


#4 - Virginia (18-6, 8-4 ACC)

#13 - Monmouth (22-5, 14-2 MAAC)


#6 - Xavier (18-7, 8-4 Big East)

#11 - Seton Hall (15-9, 5-7 Big East)


#3 - Kentucky (20-5, 10-2 SEC)

#14 - Bucknell (20-7, 12-2 Patriot)


#7 - South Carolina (20-5, 10-2 SEC)

#10 - Michigan (16-9, 6-6 Big Ten)


#2 - UCLA (23-3, 10-3 Pac 12)

#15 - Florida Gulf Coast (20-7, 9-2 Atlantic Sun)


MIDWEST:


#1 - Kansas (22-3, 10-2 Big 12)

#16 - Sam Houston State (18-8, 9-4 Southland)


#8 - SMU (22-4, 12-1 American)

#9 - TCU (17-8, 6-6 Big 12)


#5 - Cincinnati (22-3, 11-1 American)

#12 - Middle Tennessee (22-4, 12-1 Conference USA)


#4 - Duke (20-5, 8-4 ACC)

#13 - Nevada (19-6, 8-4 Mountain West)


#6 - USC (21-5, 8-5 Pac 12)

#11 - Michigan State (15-10, 7-5 Big Ten)

#11 - Pittsburgh (14-11, 3-9 ACC)


#3 - Oregon (22-4, 11-2 Pac 12)

#14 - NC Central (19-6, 10-1 MEAC)


#7 - Maryland (21-4, 9-3 Big Ten)

#10 - Northwestern (19-6, 8-4 Big Ten)


#2 - Arizona (23-3, 12-1 Pac 12)

#15 - Princeton (15-6, 8-0 Ivy League)


SOUTH:


#1 - Baylor (22-3, 9-3 Big 12)

#16 - Weber State (15-8, 10-2 Big Sky)


#8 - Oklahoma State (16-9, 5-7 Big 12)

#9 - Wichita State (23-4, 13-1 Missouri Valley)


#5 - Wisconsin (21-4, 10-2 Big Ten)

#12 - Valparaiso (20-5, 10-2 Horizon)


#4 - Florida State (21-5, 9-4 ACC)

#13 - New Mexico State (22-4, 8-2 WAC)


#6 - Florida (20-5, 10-2 SEC)

#11 - Clemson (13-11, 3-9 ACC)

#11 - Dayton (19-5, 10-2 A10)


#3 - Creighton (21-4, 8-4 Big East)

#14 - Belmont (18-5, 12-1 Ohio Valley)


#7 - Saint Mary's (22-3, 12-2 West Coast)

#10 - Texas Tech (16-9, 4-8 Big 12)


#2 - Louisville (20-5, 8-4 ACC)

#15 - UT Arlington (19-6, 9-3 Sun Belt)



Last Four Byes:
Last Four In:
Michigan
Michigan State
California
Clemson
Indiana
Dayton
Seton Hall
Pittsburgh
First Four Out:
Next Four Out:
Georgia Tech
Arkansas
Utah
Texas A&M
Syracuse
Valparaiso
VCU
Middle Tennessee
Moving In:
Dropping Out:
UNC Asheville
Winthrop
UT Arlington
Arkansas State



By Conference:

ACC - 10
Big 12 - 8
Big Ten - 8
Big East - 6
Pac 12 -5
SEC - 3
American - 3
West Coast - 2
Missouri Valley - 1
Atlantic 10 - 1
Horizon - 1
Conference USA - 1
Colonial - 1
America East - 1
Mid-American - 1
MAAC - 1
Mountain West - 1
WAC - 1
Ohio Valley - 1
MEAC - 1
Patriot - 1
Southern - 1
Big South - 1
Atlantic Sun - 1
Ivy League - 1
Sun Belt - 1
Big Sky - 1
Southland - 1
Summit - 1
Big West - 1
SWAC - 1
Northeast - 1

That will do it for this week.  Check back next week for more coverage on college hoops!

Stats from ESPN.com

DAYS REMAINING UNTIL BIG DANCE:



27

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