Monday, February 12, 2018

Big Dance Projection February 12 (Week 14)

We are growing ever closer to the month of March which means tournament time is a mere 29 days away.  With that being said, there is a lot that can and will happen between now and then.  However, the picture is beginning to crystallize.  One thing that has become apparent over the course of this season is the fact that there are no great teams in college basketball.  Any school can be beat anyone on any given night.  As you will see from this week's projection, two of the top three teams are teams that lost this past week, including my new overall number one team in the nation, Virginia.  What is this to say about the next month of college hoops?  We're in for an eventful time!


SOUTH BRACKET:


#1 - Virginia (23-2, 12-1 ACC)

#16 - UNC Asheville (18-9, 11-3 Big South)

#16 - North Carolina A&T (15-10, 8-2 MEAC)


#8 - Nevada (20-5, 9-2 Mountain West)

#9 - Michigan (20-7, 9-5 Big Ten)


#5 - Miami (18-6, 7-5 ACC)

#12 - Louisiana (21-4, 11-1 Sun Belt)


#4 - Tennessee (18-6, 6-4 SEC)

#13 - East Tennessee State (22-4, 13-0 Southern)


#6 - Rhode Island (20-3, 12-0 Atlantic 10)

#11 - Butler (17-9, 7-6 Big East)


#3 - Purdue (23-4, 12-2 Big Ten)

#14 - Buffalo (18-7, 10-2 Mid-American)


#7 - TCU (17-8, 5-7 Big 12)

#10 - Texas A&M (17-8, 6-6 SEC)


#2 - Gonzaga (23-4, 13-1 West Coast)

#15 - Bucknell (17-9, 11-2 Patriot)


MIDWEST BRACKET:


#1 - Xavier (23-3, 11-2 Big East)

#16 - Rider (19-7, 12-2 MAAC)

#16 - Grambling (13-12, 9-3 SWAC)


#8 - NC State (16-9, 6-6 ACC)

#9 - Louisville (18-8, 8-5 ACC)


#5 - Arizona (20-6, 10-3 Pac 12)

#12 - Loyola-Chicago (21-5, 11-3 Missouri Valley)


#4 - Creighton (18-7, 8-5 Big East)

#13 - Vermont (21-5, 11-0 America East)


#6 - Wichita State (19-5, 9-3 American)

#11 - Saint Mary's (24-3, 13-1 West Coast)


#3 - Clemson (20-4, 9-3 ACC)

#14 - Montana (20-5, 13-0 Big Sky)


#7 - Florida State (17-8, 6-7 ACC)

#10 - Alabama (16-9, 7-5 SEC)


#2 - Texas Tech (21-4, 9-3 Big 12)

#15 - Stephen F. Austin (20-5, 9-3 Southland)


EAST BRACKET:


#1 - Villanova (23-2, 10-2 Big East)

#16 - Harvard (12-11, 7-1 Ivy League)


#8 - Kentucky (17-8, 6-6 SEC)

#9 - Oklahoma State (15-10, 5-7 Big 12)


#5 - Texas (15-10, 5-7 Big 12)

#12 - New Mexico State (22-3, 10-0 WAC)


#4 - Oklahoma (16-8, 6-6 Big 12)

#13 - Belmont (20-7, 12-2 Ohio Valley)


#6 - Arizona State (19-6, 7-6 Pac 12)

#11 - Washington (17-8, 7-5 Pac 12)

#11 - Notre Dame (15-10, 5-7 ACC)


#3 - North Carolina (19-7, 8-5 ACC)

#14 - South Dakota State (22-6, 10-1 Summit)


#7 - Kansas State (17-8, 6-6 Big 12)

#10 - Virginia Tech (18-7, 7-5 ACC)


#2 - Duke (20-5, 8-4 ACC)

#15 - UC Santa Barbara (19-5, 8-2 Big West)


WEST BRACKET:


#1 - Michigan State (24-3, 12-2 Big Ten)

#16 - Wagner (18-7, 11-3 Northeast)


#8 - Auburn (22-3, 10-2 SEC)

#9 - Arkansas (17-8, 6-6 SEC)


#5 - Florida (17-8, 8-4 SEC)

#12 - Middle Tennessee (20-5, 12-1 Conference USA)


#4 - Cincinnati (23-2, 12-0 American)

#13 - Charleston (20-6, 11-3 Colonial)


#6 - Seton Hall (17-8, 6-6 Big East)

#11 - Marquette (14-11, 5-8 Big East)

#11 - Missouri (17-8, 7-5 SEC)


#3 - West Virginia (18-7, 7-5 Big 12)

#14 - Florida Gulf Coast (20-8, 11-0 Atlantic Sun)


#7 - Baylor (15-10, 5-7 Big 12)

#10 - Ohio State (22-5, 13-1 Big Ten)


#2 - Kansas (19-6, 8-4 Big 12)

#15 - Wright State (19-8, 11-3 Horizon)


Last Four Byes:
Last Four In:
Alabama
Washington
Texas A&M
Marquette
Butler
Missouri
Saint Mary's
Notre Dame
First Four Out:
Next Four Out:
Providence
SMU
UCLA
USC
Syracuse
Maryland
Houston
Nebraska


By Conference:

ACC -10
Big 12 - 9
SEC - 7 
Big East - 6
Big Ten - 4
Pac 12 -3
American - 2
West Coast - 2
Mountain West - 1
Atlantic 10 - 1
Sun Belt - 1
Conference USA - 1 
Ohio Valley - 1
Horizon - 1 
Colonial - 1
Summit - 1 
America East - 1 
Big Sky - 1
Southland - 1
Atlantic Sun - 1
Missouri Valley - 1
Patriot - 1
Southern - 1
WAC - 1   
Mid-American - 1
MAAC - 1 
Big South - 1
Big West - 1  
Ivy League - 1  
MEAC - 1
Northeast - 1
SWAC - 1


Hopefully this gives you a glimpse of what the Big Dance could look like.  Again, there is still a month of college basketball action including the all-important conference tournaments.  If you are looking for a more in-depth review of each conference, school, and the work that they may need to do in order to secure their ticket to the dance, be sure to check out my college hoops review article later this week.

DAYS REMAINING UNTIL BIG DANCE:



29



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