Tuesday, January 31, 2017

Big Dance Projection (January 30)

What a wild week!  Tuesday night provided three of the top four teams with losses.  By Sunday night, we had seen seven of the top ten fall.  This led to some changes among the higher seeds, with a new overall number one emerging...

WEST:


#1 - Gonzaga (22-0, 10-0 West Coast)

#16 - Weber State (12-7, 7-1 Big Sky)

#16 - LIU Brooklyn (14-9, 7-3 Northeast)


#8 - Minnesota (15-7, 3-6 Big Ten)

#9 - Indiana (14-8, 4-5 Big Ten)


#5 - Creighton (19-3, 6-3 Big East)

#12 - Nevada (18-4, 7-2 Mountain West)


#4 - Oregon (19-3, 8-1 Pac 12)

#13 - UT-Arlington (16-5, 6-2 Sun Belt)


#6 - Florida (16-5, 6-2 SEC)

#11 - Arkansas (16-5, 5-3 SEC)


#3 - Virginia (16-4, 6-2 ACC)

#14 - Belmont (15-4, 9-0 Ohio Valley)


#7 - Xavier (15-6, 5-4 Big East)

#10 - TCU (14-7, 3-5 Big 12)


#2 - West Virginia (17-4, 5-3 Big 12)

#15 - Bucknell (17-6, 9-1 Patriot)


EAST:


#1 - Villanova (20-2, 7-2 Big East)

#16 - UC Davis (13-8, 5-1 Big West)

#16 - Texas Southern (11-10, 7-1 SWAC)


#8 - Michigan (14-8, 4-5 Big Ten)

#9 - Texas Tech (15-6, 3-5 Big 12)


#5 - Purdue (17-5, 6-3 Big Ten)

#12 - UNC Wilmington (20-3, 9-1 Colonial)


#4 - Cincinnati (19-2, 8-0 American)

#13 - New Mexico State (20-2, 7-0 WAC)


#6 - Saint Mary's (19-2, 9-1 West Coast)

#11 - Wichita State (19-4, 9-1 Missouri Valley)


#3 - North Carolina (19-4, 7-2 ACC)

#14 - Akron (18-3, 8-0 Mid-American)


#7 - Marquette (14-7, 5-4 Big East)

#10 - Northwestern (18-4, 7-2 Big Ten)


#2 - Kentucky (17-4, 7-1 SEC)

#15 - Florida Gulf Coast (17-6, 6-1 Atlantic Sun)


SOUTH:


#1 - Baylor (20-1, 7-1 Big 12)

#16 - Princeton (10-6, 3-0 Ivy League)


#8 - Iowa State (13-7, 5-3 Big 12)

#9 - SMU (18-4, 8-1 American)


#5 - Wisconsin (18-3, 7-1 Big Ten)

#12 - Middle Tennessee (19-3, 9-0 Conference USA)


#4 - Butler (18-4, 7-3 Big East)

#13 - Monmouth (17-5, 9-2 MAAC)


#6 - Duke (16-5, 4-4 ACC)

#11 - Seton Hall (13-7, 3-5 Big East)

#11 - Dayton (15-5, 6-2 A10)


#3 - Florida State (18-4, 6-3 ACC)

#14 - East Tennessee State (17-5, 7-2 Southern)


#7 - Virginia Tech (16-5, 5-4 ACC)

#10 - Oklahoma State (13-8, 2-6 Big 12)


#2 - Arizona (20-2, 9-0 Pac 12)

#15 - North Dakota State (15-6, 7-1 Summit)


MIDWEST:


#1 - Kansas (19-2, 7-1 Big 12)

#16 - Sam Houston State (16-6, 7-2 Southland)


#8 - Kansas State (15-6, 4-4 Big 12)

#9 - Miami (14-6, 4-4 ACC)


#5 - South Carolina (17-4, 7-1 SEC)

#12 - Valparaiso (18-4, 8-1 Horizon)


#4 - Notre Dame (17-5, 6-3 ACC)

#13 - Vermont (18-5, 8-0 America East)


#6 - Maryland (19-2, 7-1 Big Ten)

#11 - Pittsburgh (12-9, 1-7 ACC)

#11 - Clemson (12-8, 2-6 ACC)


#3 - UCLA (19-3, 6-3 Pac 12)

#14 - Winthrop (16-5, 8-2 Big South)


#7 - USC (18-4, 5-4 Pac 12)

#10 - Michigan State (13-9, 5-4 Big Ten)


#2 - Louisville (18-4, 6-3 ACC)

#15 - NC Central (14-6, 5-1 MEAC)



Last Four Byes:
Last Four In:
First Four Out:
Next Four Out:
Oklahoma State
Wichita State
California
Valparaiso
Northwestern
Pittsburgh
Georgia Tech
Middle Tennessee
TCU
Clemson
Texas A&M
Ohio State
Arkansas
Dayton
Utah
Illinois
Moving In:
Dropping Out:


East Tennessee State
UNC Greensboro


UC Davis
UC Irvine




By Conference:

ACC - 10
Big 12 - 8
Big Ten - 8
Big East - 6
SEC - 4
Pac 12 - 4
American - 3
West Coast - 2
Missouri Valley - 1
Atlantic 10 - 1
Horizon - 1
Conference USA - 1
Colonial - 1
Mountain West - 1
Sun Belt - 1
WAC - 1
MAAC - 1
America East - 1
Big South - 1
Southern - 1
Mid-American - 1
Ohio Valley - 1
Patriot - 1
Atlantic Sun - 1
Summit - 1
MEAC - 1
Southland - 1
Ivy League - 1
Big West - 1
Big Sky - 1
Northeast - 1
SWAC - 1

That does it for this week.  Be sure to check back next week for updated projections as well as in-depth analysis for each team as we move into February.

Stats from ESPN.com

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